.. _part3: ========================================== Part III: Maximum Likelihood Estimation ========================================== Part III develops the theory, practice, and inferential machinery of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) --- the single most important estimation principle in modern statistics. Building on the likelihood functions catalogued in :ref:`part2`, we now ask: *given a likelihood surface, how do we find its peak, what can we say about that peak, and how do we use it for inference?* The treatment is organised into three chapters: * **Chapter 9** (:ref:`ch9_mle_theory`) establishes the theoretical backbone of MLE. We give a formal definition of the maximum likelihood estimator, then develop its large-sample properties---consistency, asymptotic normality, and efficiency---with full proof sketches. We state and explain the regularity conditions that underpin these results, prove the invariance (equivariance) property, and discuss finite-sample phenomena such as bias. * **Chapter 10** (:ref:`ch10_analytical_mle`) works through closed-form MLE derivations for the most important parametric families: Normal, Exponential, Poisson, Binomial, Gamma, Beta, Uniform, and Multinomial. Every derivation proceeds step by step---write the log-likelihood, differentiate, solve, and verify via the second derivative---so that readers can reproduce each result with pencil and paper. * **Chapter 11** (:ref:`ch11_testing`) shows how to convert a fitted likelihood into confidence intervals and hypothesis tests. We derive the three classical test statistics---likelihood ratio, Wald, and score (Rao)---prove Wilks' theorem, construct profile-likelihood confidence regions, and discuss multiple-testing corrections. .. toctree:: :maxdepth: 2 :caption: Maximum Likelihood Estimation mle_theory analytical_mle confidence_and_testing